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Thread: Winter Spring 2021 Vegas Trip

  1. #21
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    Day 11 play

    Pulled an 8K marker. First shoe, not so good - I actually got down to -5K and put 2500 on Player. I draw an eight and would you believe it, dealer pulls a freakin'
    (Ma, I said freakin')
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    eight to tie me! Then I figure, in for a penny in for a pound and I put the balance on there - CASE BET - three thousand and draw a five. Dealer hits to four with a three card draw that mandates my pull. I get a face card and that's it! baby boy, Victory! Six card 5 over 4.

    Still, I end the first shoe down -2500.

    Second shoe I manage to rally some including following a 2/2/2 pattern beautifully, but still end down -700.

    I'm actually considering leaving it at that, and just walking, but I go for a third shoe. On this shoe, a seven player run happens almost immediately and I catch 6/7 of it, and then the entire first portion of the shoe is 2:1 Players. I take all that for what it's worth, start to lose a tad as the shoe goes a bit random on me, and color up, walking with 2525 to the good with the marker paid off.

    2525
    I like the sound of that.

    I played two and a quarter shoes. I was doing modest side bets for the dealer, mostly red chips, a few quarters, one fifty, we hit TWO ties actually with dealer getting 5 x 8 on both (YES I DEFINITELY HIT AT LEAST 25% OF THE TIES I WAGERED TODAY), and I hit a couple other ties as well. Dealer probably dropped about one fiddy in tips.

    Ties really help me get back up when I'm down, or take me over the top when I'm already up.

    The dealer commented on what a good Baccarat player I am, but what does that MEAN? Well, what it means as far as I am concerned is that I walk with money. That's my definition of a good player. Is there any other definition?

    Dealer also commented on how many people go against runs and patterns. Not I! said MDawg.

    Time for a V stroll.

  2. #22
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    Day 12 play

    First shoe, there was an existing player at the table and I probably should have just left but I decided to play on with this player. About the only thing good about this player was that would put down whatever thought was right without considering what I had bet. I respected that - the player lost in the end, and left, but still, at least I eventually grew oblivious and just did my own thing. I ended the first shoe down -2500 though.

    Second shoe, I had a couple of great Player runs and recouped. I ended at -700, which seemed familiar to me from yesterday. When I commented on how that shoe was good for me, the other player said, "For you - not for me," and left.

    Third shoe, early on, I took some hard spills, and lost a three thousand dollar hand. Ended up losing the entire 8K marker I had pulled. I did some call bets here and there for 500 to 1500 each and won every one, but didn't win the second hand after winning the call bet, until finally I had only a grand in front of me, decided I needed some ammo, and asked for a 20K marker. And then - easy street hit. Three parallel Bank runs of 5 to 7 each, separated by only 1 Player. You'd have to be brain dead to not win on those, and win I did, although on the second run I put 1500 on Bank #2 then fingered 4500 for the third Bank, but chickened out and put only 2000 on it, won with a natural 8. After that I kept referring to "I should have bet 4500 on that hand" and pointed it out to the relief dealer and to anyone else who would listen until the pit boss finally said, good-naturedly, "Are we still on that?" But actually that was the hand that would have taken me way ahead, and I let off on the gas dramatically after I was close to even. If I had kept pressing those 500 chips I would have cleared a good sum. Still, somehow, I ended the third shoe down about a grand but given that I was a solid minus 8K at more than a few points prior, that was a victorious run upwards.

    At the beginning of the fourth shoe I bet small, and then as soon as I was up - a mere 100, I quit. Today I tipped out about 300 via dealer side bets so the pit boss and I laughed about how the dealer won more than I did.

    "Well anyway this proves that you can't keep a good man down." he said, referring both to how I had tipped more than I had won, and of course, to how I had made a nice comeback.

    The main dealer at the table was new to Vegas, rather cute actually, and I spent a while talking to her and regaling her with past tales of MDawg glory in Vegas casinos. I get garrulous when I've won.

  3. #23
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    Is winning 100 a win? Yes it is! when it represents a comeback from -8000.

  4. #24
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    Day 13 play


    Wow just noticed - 13? Is it unlucky? Well Bill Harrah didn't think so. Harrah's Tahoe has a 13th floor because Bill Harrah didn't believe in unlucky numbers.

    Shoe 1, I ended 900 ahead. I had a vague feeling that I should just stop. But I didn't.

    Shoe 2, things started falling apart. Another guy came to the table, and he bet against me occasionally. He didn't mean anything, he just figured that the opposite side was the way to go. One hand in particular, I put a good sum on Bank, drew a freakin' 3, he got a one - no that's right it was a zero, and drew the snowman to beat me. He wasn't trying to bet against me, just, he picked the right hand and I didn't.

    How badly did things fall apart? I dumped the entire 8K marker and started doing call bets which would win, then the second hand with the call bet win money lose, until finally I lost a 1500 call bet, which meant I was -9500 for the session. I had them print it to twenty, and by the end of the second shoe I had barely five grand in front of me. What was THAT about? Not good.

    So I left the table, went up to the room, and grabbed 7000 in chips and came back down. On the way to the room I kept thinking, you shoulda just left when you were 900 ahead. In any case, I felt like I needed some extra ammo to give me the confidence to play harder, and I didn't feel like pulling another marker right then. My wife was still in the suite, about to head out to the gym. She said she was just about to text me a kiss, but instead, she gave me one in person. That was nice. I wasn't particularly agitated, but still, was just a shade on the frenetic side versus being dead calm.

    Back down there, I played a shoe that the pit boss had cut, which was incroyable, let me tell. Oh, mon vieux it was something else. Bank run after bank run, and I was hitting it for 2000, 3000, 4000 and then thousand here, thousand there.

    Then the fourth shoe, which I cut, had a nine bank run that I pressed into until about the sixth hand I was about even, was going to put 2500, but after a recount, I just put down five hunny and ran the bank out. Tried a few hands after that for black chips only, colored up, and I was about two grand to the good for the session. About the only downer was that the two hands I placed black chips on the side for the dealer, dealer couldn't pick up. Oh well, today was my day to win. Yesterday the dealer's won more than I did, but today I won more.

    So that was a twenty five thousand dollar run from -23K for the day to plus +2K. Not bad at all, and believe me it felt GOOD to tear up those two markers.

    The guy who was playing with me won about a grand too, but he was betting small and most of the time was just sitting out the incredible runs I was experiencing. It truly is hard to keep a good man down - well anyway, as long as the Baccarat shoes are accommodating, which once again today - they more than were.

  5. #25
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    Day 14 play

    Gotta get centered better because I've been playing catch up past few sessions, with today no exception.

    I don't believe I was ahead much if anything at any point today after the first shoe. That first shoe I actually did okay but I wasn't betting right - I was flat betting the runs and streaks instead of progressing, but they weren't arriving so very predictably, so I didn't feel confident pressing.

    At some point in the second shoe I lost the chips from the 8K marker, and I did some call bets until I lost a - Believe it was a 1500 one similar to the other day - and had them print it to twenty. It was up and down until I had only 9K left from that marker which meant down -19K, and I put all of it on Player, and drew a zero with Bank four. Any face/ten at that point and I would have been dead but luckily I drew at least a two sided five. At this point I was calling for a "monkey" as they say for the Bank, and boom! dealer drew a four sided nine reduced the Bank to 3 and I won! That was a good hand. You remember hands like that, nine grand on the line, six cards drawn, 5/3 win.

    From that point on I kept getting stuck with between fourteen and twenty one thousand in front of me, with 28K being the goal to even.

    A few players with varying success came to my table during the course of the two shoes. The first bought in for ten K cash, and at one point was actually ahead +4K (was a pretty big player would bet anywhere from 1000 - 6000 a hand) but ended up losing that 10K, buying in for another ten and losing it all. He was a known player and I asked the pit boss about that player and pit boss pretty much let on that there wasn't much winning going on with that one. I mean - ahead 4K with ten K buy in, and don't walk? How much do you want? A second player arrived with 5K who was some kind of Martingale player with 100 units. All that was remarkable about this player was that remarked that never won a hand betting against me, but that player actually managed to win 1000 eventually and left. So that was one winner I saw today.

    A third player bought in for 2500 (or maybe it was 5000, I took a bathroom break while they were counting it), and during that player's play I bet as much as 6000 on Player and won (mostly a catch up bet) but whatever that player was doing didn't work and that one left after losing it all.

    On the fourth shoe I got side by side Player runs and the only thing that prevented me from really slamming them was that I'd get a tie somewhere on the run and this would unnerve me to lowering the pressing bet (often I will ignore an intervening tie on a run, or even press after it, but for some reason today I did lowered my bet after a tie during a run), but in any case by the first quarter of the fifth shoe I was dead even and quit. I free handed the next hand - would have lost (another Player run shoe).

    What's "funny" is that the best shoe I got the dealer cut before I had a chance to cut it. That fourth shoe was the best shoe of the day. During it a couple pit bosses I had never seen before seemed to be standing around with worried looks on their faces as I won hand after hand. The dealers today for the most part were "seen it all types" and not so into the game. I actually tipped out more than I won, because I just walked with a few small denomination chips and dealers must have won 500 during the earlier parts of the session when I was putting side bets for them while I was actually getting somewhere.

    I played long enough and through shift change such that my markers had been transferred, so I look the 28K in chips right to the cage to get my markers back.

    Anyway, earned comps galore today but no money. Dealers won more than I did. But sometimes, a push is a win.

    Went for a sumptuous meal and relaxed with her in the suite was feeling that bit tired it having been an evening of some small energy expenditure. Fell asleep relatively early. Going to get back to sleep now and later hit the gym, eat, ETC. and another session. They might eventually get me at this rate I need to get back to winning early and quitting versus all this catch up.

  6. #26
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    Day 15 play

    Already done. Played, maybe 3/4 of one shoe. Dealer cut (the shoe was ready to go when I arrived) - it was beautiful. I took a picture of the shoe so I am looking at it as I write this. First, five Players right out the gate. Free handed the first, won 4/5 of the next pressing all the way. Then, with a single exception, pure chop for ELEVEN hands, I got nearly every one. Two banks, missed one, got one, then chop AGAIN for seven hands, got 'em all. Then I missed the next hand, and then after two players I got on an eight player run. Chopped four hands, I got 3/4, then Player dropped four hands, I got only a couple of those, then one bank and another eight player run. Bank pretty much went only ONE most of the shoe which is why it was so easy to bet Player right afterwards. I got another five Player run, then the shoe started to get a tad less predictable, so I just stopped.

    I was at a double up anyway, +8210 plus with all the dealer side bets I kept laying as I kept winning hand after hand, I noticed about seven hunny all stacked up in red, green and black chips for the dealer by the toke box.

    The pit boss kept shaking my hand. I mean, full on regular handshake. I kept thinking, Okay - isn't this the era of covid? but I shook it firmly and Old School anyway, just seemed like the thing to do. But as soon as I left the pit I hit the hand sanitizer.

    That's it for today.

    Up in the suite my wife was saying that on days like this I could really win big, and that eight thousand was nothing. She pointed out that when you're running like this if you could just program yourself to not think about the denominations you could win 5X as much easily. She's right of course, but, as she also pointed out, "You're doing this because you're good at it, not because we need it."

  7. #27
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    Day 16 play

    Today was the most volatile session in some time. First shoe I was doing all right, getting somewhere then next thing you know I lost the 8K marker. I won a thousand call bet, as the shoe ended. Beginning of second shoe I went ahead and pulled a 20K marker so that I had the ammo I needed. The one pit boss remarked, "You really need that much?" and I said, "Yes, sometimes I feel more comfortable with more in front of me." Next thing you know I was down about six of that new marker which meant a combined -14K for the session, and I slammed 10K on Player and won 6 over 0 with a six card draw. I left that standing there for a while just to admire it. The other pit boss kept shaking his head and saying, "I'm glad you won, but - betting ten thousand to win nothing? What is that about." What he was getting at is that all the bet did was bring me back to even as far as the first marker, plus an extra four grand, which meant -4K for the session. In other words I risked a lot to just get back towards even. Still, if I hadn't done it I felt like I would have slowly gone down the tubes.

    But then, little by little I kept losing as the shoe remained random, and I actually lost the second marker too, including via a couple of very large bets where the the other side either opened a natural or I just couldn't draw to catch up. Down -28K now.

    I asked for another 20K, so I was now in 48K and I didn't do too well losing more, until I entered an 11 bank run just one after it had started, with a few thousand at the top, and pressed to 4000, 5000, 6000. On the 6000 hand the Baccarat shoe malfunctioned and started flashing and I pulled the bet, but as soon as they were ready again I put the bet back up. Boom! another win. Six thousand! I then made a big mistake - I left only 4000 up and ran the bank out, instead of continuing the press to 7000, 8000, 9000, etc. On each hand that I won 4000 I kept declaring,

    "That would have been seven."

    "That would have been eight."

    "That would have been nine."

    Anyway, even after that, and the end of the run, I was STILL down a couple grand as the shoe ended, because I owed some 1600 and change in commission! and had to pay it.

    Prior to this run the same pit boss who had disapproved of my ten K bet told me what he thought of the electronic board, by turning it sideways, to indicate that it meant absolutely nothing. I told him, Come on, it depends on the shoe. Good shoe, it means everything. Bad shoe, little or nothing.

    Third shoe, first I dumped some to where I was -4K again, then I got a perfect chop. I felt like calling that disbelieving pit boss back over to tell him in his face that the board was now meaning everything, but I was too busy raking the chips in. I didn't even bet much on this chop, but did press a hundred more on each win, and a hundred on the side for the dealer when I got to 1100 and when the chop ended, I counted up and I was ahead +2300, and called it a day.

    I shoved the four stacks of High Society plus eight thousand into the center and said those magic two words, "MARKERS DOWN!" and that was the end of that session. As I was talking my head off after almost losing my arse, but coming back to ahead, who should show up but the player from the other day who dropped twenty. I told the player about the side by side Player streaks that had come up soon after he left, and that I kept mentioning to the dealers that the player left before the miracle happened, but anyway, that was his problem today, not mine. I had made my comeback and won again.

    I won, dealers won, all in all a good day. I tried to argue for a 5000 average bet from the one pit boss, but wouldn't go for it. Finally, the other pit boss put me down for 2000, which is quite respectable.

    Ole!
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    even if - it requires some reaching down deep just to get there.

    Let's hope I don't have any more sessions like this. Was more than a little crazy today.

  8. #28
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    Day 17 play

    Played a leisurely one shoe only. I was ahead some near the beginning, then about even a little later, and about half way through hit a 9 bank run where my max bet got to around 1600 I think it was? After that a hard patch but I kept my bets around 100 - 200, then hit I believe it was a six or so Player run, and I won the last hand too. When I counted up I had +4270 to the good and my dealer side bets had given them about 300 I think, maybe more.

    The cocktail waitress - wow. Not your typical blonde but a smoldering tall thin brunette reminded me of my wife, and I was acting cool but I think the girl knew she had a little effect on me. I couldn't mention anything about her while the female dealer was present but when it was just us guys the male dealer pit boss and I definitely had a little chat about the "distracting" cocktail waitress.

    Pit boss asked if I was coming back, I said No. In the past I used to pretend as if I were, but by now they know me anyway, so I don't play games I just let them know up front that's it for today.

    Ran into my host and host said my average has been 1200 so everything is being taken care of. While with the host, ran into the credit manager. I didn't know that person but recognized the name badge and the host confirmed who it was. After a quick introduction I told the credit manager I wanted to bet more per hand, and manager said, How much more? I just laughed, I was mostly just joking.

  9. #29
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    Day 18 play

    Played first shoe somewhat tentatively, with a couple other players, and was ahead throughout although not much until towards the end hit a chop and played it for black chips pressing a little. Ended that shoe ahead a couple thousand.

    The other players left and I relatively quickly hit a long player run, think it was about ten or so, and pressed into it beautifully, followed by a decent length bank run, which I played just right, followed by ANOTHER player run, which was just too easy to play into. Side by side streaks, what more could you ask for. And who cut that shoe? I DID - that's who. Along the way I started stacking red chips for the dealer side by side with my blacks to where dealer was winning a good ninety to a hundred X 2 on many of my bets.

    These runs brought my five hundred chips to a good level. It wasn't quite Stacks and towers of checks I can't even see over, but it was still nice.

    I fooled around with the change from commission on a few bets, noticed the shoe was getting a little random, and colored up - ahead a CLEAN fifteen thousand, which I believe was my best session for this trip.

    That little break must have helped get me on track, as those prior sessions of getting down then playing catch up were not edifying, even though they worked out. This time, as usual, I was patient until I hit the shoe sweet spots and then made my mark. Seriously, if I had been a little agro I could have booked easily triple what I did. Still, it's good and I'm more than happy with today's results.

  10. #30
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    Day 19 play

    Played three shoes. First shoe I got up nicely, it wasn't a bad shoe at all. I walked up and three banks had come down. I asked the dealer, "Why would anyone leave after three banks straight out the gate?"

    I surmised - only two explanations, ONE - the guy bet table limit three times and then left. Unlikely! though. Possibility TWO - the guy was a dunce, and kept betting Player, and then gave up.

    Seven more banks rained down for a ten bank run and I got every one. Sadly it was at the start of the session and shoe, so I didn't bet heavily, but I did press, as always.

    After that I had some harder times (I mean - what could be easier than a ten bank run?), but I still detected a pattern and hit the indicated hand hard and heavily enough to stay ahead, until the pattern changed. I ended the first shoe about three grand ahead, even after losing a couple of "let's take a shot" larger hands.

    Second shoe, was not bad at all either, Player runs galore, and I was about eight grand ahead at one point, then lost two big hands for 2500 each.

    Third shoe, I hit some runs, played pretty tightly after that, and ended 5700 ahead, which is where I quit.

    Dealer had me cut the next shoe. I circled back to take a look later, while waiting on some take out food, and sure enough, a nine Player run and side by side other Player runs interrupted only by one Bank. I could've murdered that shoe.

    "Your shoe! You cut it!" the dealer chimed in. True - but, how could I have known that my touch was going to be golden again for the fourth shoe. And the second shoe hadn't been all that great near the end, so it wasn't like every shoe I cut today was fabulous.

    +5700 is good money. Not bad at all.

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